Loads are now reported at the end of the catchment

Versions 1 and 2 of P2R Projector reported loads at the point of generation (edge of paddock). These were based directly on the outputs from paddock modelling simulations (APSIM).

Version 3 reports the load at the end of the catchment. This brings projector outputs into alignment with the Reef 2050 Water Quality Improvement Plan (WQIP) targets and reported modelled load estimates.

Version 3 accounts for losses from the paddock and stream network and losses within the river system to estimate an end-of-catchment load as opposed to an end-of-paddock load.

Losses between the end-of-paddock and the stream are estimated by applying a delivery ratio specific to each catchment, each pollutant and each delivery pathway (surface/sub-surface) from GBR Source. These delivery ratios are derived from calibrating the catchment modelled load to instream monitoring data.

Losses between the stream and the end of catchment are estimated by applying a riverine system delivery ratio, derived from GBR Source. These values are unique to each model functional unit (sub-catchment) and each pollutant.

Typically, for coastal streams, around 90% of the dissolved inorganic nitrogen load is delivered to the end of the catchment. For fine sediment, the riverine system delivery ratios are more variable with less sediment delivered from inland areas.

Delivery ratios conceptual model